The Center for Disease Control released new data for 2007 (based on 90% of all USA death certificiates) showing that mortality rates dropped again (by over 2%) to 760/100,000 population. It’s been dropping for the past 8 years, and viewed longer term is half of what it was 60 years ago. Interestingly death rates from heart disease dropped a staggering 5% and even cancer dropped 2%.
We consider that factual information to be good news, yet we are faced with a contradiction here because America is fatter than ever.
We are told to be prepared for an epidemic of diabetes, high blood pressure, elevated blood lipids because of this. Every doc has seen blood sugar drop, blood pressure lowered, lipids come down in people with any/all of the above when they are able to lose a significant amount of weight.
However, the theory which says America should be suffering health problems and increased mortality because of increased obesity is quite wrong.
So why are death rates dropping and people living longer? Something must be wrong with the model — it’s pretty hard to quarrel with the data as being inadequate. Certainly the increased incidence of obesity should have produced something by this time (it started 30 years ago).
It is an interesting question, and a few ideas are proposed. This is not an exhaustive list by any means.
- People may be in engaging in more/ higher quality exercise.
- Fewer people are regular smokers.
- Better, more well informed doctors.
- Better drugs on the market.
We are not the only ones to notice the bogus nature of the BMI, and some other people have proposed alternatives based on the fact that a group of people of equal height and weight can have very different mortality rates.
Also, when taking into account people who are skinny because they smoke a lot, there is still no indication that being overweight increases mortality.
Linking, for the first time, causes of death to specific weights, they report that overweight people have a lower death rate because they are much less likely to die from a grab bag of diseases that includes Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s, infections and lung disease. And that lower risk is not counteracted by increased risks of dying from any other disease, including cancer, diabetes or heart disease.
The BMI is bogus. It bears repeating again and again because we still live in a system which judges your health, and thereby your insurance premiums based on this nonsense. Private insurance companies can be mandated to change this by Congress but the CDC and others enjoy the convenience provided by simply using national BMI data.
If the government is using statistically invalid data to judge the health of Americans, can we trust them with actually running the healthcare system? Why should we trust a proposed system of hugely increased cost and responsibilities by officials who can’t bother getting the basic things right?
Many public officials have been holding town hall meetings recently to try and sell the proposed healthcare legislation to the public. Take a few moments and read this compilation of important questions which need to be answered by the President and Congress before any healthcare reform bill gets voted into law.